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As third quarter fundamentals continue to show improvement in the industrial sector, retailers are honing their distribution center strategy to meet current e-commerce demands.
Fundamentals for warehouse space have improved steadily over the past five years. The availability rate for industrial properties declined to 9.6 percent nationally in the third quarter, according to a report from commercial real estate services firm CBRE. Net demand for industrial space is on pace to exceed 200 million sq. ft. this year, and the vacancy rate dropped to 7.3 percent, almost a full percentage point down from the third quarter of 2014, according to report from Cushman & Wakefield. Demand for class-A logistics product will continue to fuel the rapid increase in construction through the rest of the year and into 2016, the Cushman report predicts.
Dwight Hotchkiss, president of brokerage services and the national director of industrial with real estate services firm Colliers, says warehouse demand from retailers has been one of the top reasons for the improved industrial picture. Increased online purchasing, driven by rising smartphone and tablet use, has corresponded with retailer demand for more distribution center space.
However, in the years immediately following the recession, retailers trying desperately to follow Amazon’s example engaged in a jumble of distribution center activity. Same-day delivery of products became the goal, but many companies weren’t sure how to achieve it, or whether they had the capital to invest in the infrastructure necessary to get products out that quickly. Omni-channeling entered the retail and industrial lexicon, as retail chains tried various storage use combinations to get products to customers.
Today, two strategies have emerged, Hotchkiss says: A focus on expanding the “first mile” of distribution, such as building massive distribution centers with advanced robotics and RFID technology, to the “last mile,” where e-commerce retailers are leasing up older or smaller warehouses near urban centers to shorten delivery routes.
“We have an expectation in this digital age of more instantaneous delivery,” he says. “A lot more people today are shopping this way. It takes away from the brick-and-mortar storefront and makes more demands on the warehouse space.”
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Class-A apartments in core neighborhoods may no longer be the best investment in today’s market. Vacancy rates are rising for the most expensive apartment communities in urban neighborhoods, research shows.
“The urban class-A market is seeing some pressure. It’s not a crisis by any means, but it’s now an underperforming segment of the market,” says Jay Parsons, an expert with MPF Research, a division of RealPage, Inc., an apartment market intelligence firm. “We expect that to remain the case through 2016 and likely into 2017.”
The pressure is due to the fact that developers are building so many new luxury apartments in urban areas, especially in downtown districts. Vacancy rates are lower and rent growth is steady for apartment communities that don’t have to compete so hard to attract renters—including class-A apartment communities in suburban areas, where there isn’t so much new construction, and class-B apartment communities everywhere.
“Class-A vacancy rates will continue to rise, while class-B vacancy should decline as few developers build class-B buildings,” says Barbara Byrne Denham, economist with New York City-based research firm Reis Inc. “Rents should continue to rise, although the rate of growth for class-A rents will be lower than it has been. The rate of growth for class-B rents should stay the same.”
Usually, class-A communities have significantly fewer vacant apartments than class-B communities. Over the last dozen years, from 2003 to present, the class-A apartment vacancy rate averaged 5.2 percent. That’s 40 basis points lower than the vacancy rate for class-B apartments. But that difference has vanished as class-B apartments catch up to class-A—both had an average vacancy rate of 4.9 percent over the last two years, according to data firm Axiometrics Inc.
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The EB-5 Program allows for foreign investors to have stakes in US developments while also reducing costs for US developers and helping to create regional jobs. So far, $3.7B has streamed into major US cities, such as NYC and San Francisco. “EB-5 is an alternative source of funding for good projects and to create more jobs quicker,” US Immigration Fund VP Nicholas Mastroianni tells Bisnow. “It allows them to free up capital to do more projects.” Here are 11 of the largest and most important projects funded by EB-5 in the country.
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Shipping container homes are the biggest trend in sustainable architecture of today. Discover the innovative solutions they offer for green and off-grid living.
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In many markets, high rents and relatively low home prices are providing solid investment returns for single-family home rentals.
“It’s still a good time to buy rental single-family homes,” says Daren Blomquist, vice president with data firm RealtyTrac.
The highest yields for these types of properties can often be found in secondary and tertiary neighborhoods in secondary and tertiary markets, however, far away from the places where the largest institutional investors have bought their thousands of rental homes. Somewhat older homes in older neighborhoods are benefiting from rent growth and strong demand for rental housing.
The deals are out there
The rents are rising at single-family rental homes across the country. Rental rates on new leases rose an average of 4.5 percent nationally over the past year, up from a rate of 3.4 percent in July 2014.
“Strong job growth and historically high occupancy rates are fueling higher rents,” according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting.
The average investment return on rental homes is strong and getting stronger. The average gross rental yield is nearly 9 percent, according to the latest report from RealtyTrac.
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One of the oldest sawmill operations in the state is undergoing a $190 million rebirth at its historic southwest Arkansas home. Site preparation for the new Weyerhaeuser complex at Dierks (Howard County) is winding down as the project shifts into a new phase of construction.
“We’re in the process of setting up the concrete batch plant,” said Scott Copas, president and CEO of Little Rock’s Baldwin & Shell Construction Co. “We’ll be starting work toward the end of the month.”
The new facility will have an annual production capacity of 387 million board feet, 25 percent more than current capabilities.
A joint venture of Baldwin & Shell and Bass Commercial Concrete LLC of Little Rock will oversee the production and pouring of 40,000 cubic yards of concrete during the next 16-18 months.
The new sawmill will adjoin the east side of the current location, where lumber production has occurred continuously for more than 100 years. The old facility will continue production on the west side of Holly Creek until the new one is fully operational.
Weyerhaeuser employs about 250 at the Dierks complex, which generates jobs for scores of loggers who cut and transport timber to supply the sawmill.
Four drying kilns will be the first piece of the new complex to come on line. The old facility will be demolished in phases, just as the new one is built in phases.
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Despite concern from some – including the Federal Reserve – about widening spreads on investment-grade commercial mortgage-backed securities, metrics on CMBS issuances and falling delinquencies indicate a fairly sunny outlook.
In minutes detailing the Federal Reserve’s meeting last month – in which the Fed decided it would maintain interest rates near zero – the central bank noted that spreads on CMBS “widened noticeably in August, reportedly a result of heavy issuance as well as the increased volatility in broader financial markets.”
But analysts have pointed to metrics indicating such conditions as more of a temporary blip than a sign of a more pronounced slowdown in the controversial market.
“There has been a widening of spreads,” Sean Barrie of CMBS analytics firm Trepp told The Real Deal, citing “a lot of deals stacking the opposite ends of the spectrum” in terms of loan-to-value ratio. Barrie noted, however, that so far October has “seen spreads stay even keel,” which he characterized as a “good sign.”
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Managing the various, often-volatile property and liability risks that commercial real estate owners and managers face daily requires a vigilant risk management strategy that includes frequently evaluating risks and assessing insurance programs to ensure proper coverages are in place. For instance, when it comes to estimating potential losses from such catastrophes as hurricanes and earthquakes, real estate companies are challenged by the inadequacy of modeling tools. The inherent low-frequency rate of catastrophic event also means standard actuarial techniques are not as effective. On the liability front, making sure policies align with contractual exposures requires a significant amount of due diligence combined with real estate risk management expertise. All of these challenges point to a greater need for real estate companies to partner with risk management experts that have a thorough understanding of the industry’s unique challenges. Additionally, companies need to stay informed on the changing risk environment and latest risk management techniques that can help to mitigate their financial exposures. Following are a few strategies addressing catastrophe property and liability exposures in real estate.
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Discover simple ways to use essential oils in your home to create a healthy, happy lifestyle and environment.
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Check out these ideas for useful gifts that will delight your loved ones.
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Demand for stabilized medical office buildings (MOBs) and new development is on an upswing, according to market experts, with cap rates matching pre-recession record levels.
The average cap rate for performing MOBs declined to 6.5 percent in the first half of 2015, almost reaching the record low of 6.2 percent achieved in the third quarter of 2007, according to a recent report from health care advisor firm Brown Gibbons Lang Real Estate Partners. Vacancy in the MOB sector has dropped to 10.9 percent, one of the lowest rates of any commercial property type.
The investment sales market is healthy from the demand perspective, according to the report, with 1,176 transactions completed through the first half of the year, totaling about $11.9 billion. In comparison, there were 950 transactions totaling $9.8 billion completed during all of 2014. Christopher Stai, managing director at Brown Gibbons, says among other trends, provider-based clients are conducting strategic reviews and looking closely at monetizing both core and non-core assets, transferring ownership and valuation risk, and redeploying capital towards growth opportunities and other core areas of their business, while maintaining a degree of control over the assets.
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